|
In 2002, I came up
with a scale to help explain varying degrees of
confidence in data providing a connection in
relationships. I finally decided to make it public so
others can use it.
The Tuley Certainty
Scale:
0-----1-----2-----3-----4-----5-----6-----7-----8-----9-----10
Where
0 = No chance. Too much irreconcilable evidence.
1 = Not likely. Conflicting data makes it appear
unlikely.
2 = Possible connection. Some conflicting evidence, but
nothing definitive.
3 = Possible connection. Dates allow for the
possibility. Nothing rules it out.
4 = Possible connection. Dates allow for the
possibility. Circumstantial evidence.
5 = Probable connection. Dates allow for the
possibility. Some evidence.
6 = Probable connection. Dates put people in the right
place at the right time.
7 = Likely connection. Dates and places match and are
well documented.
8 = Likely connection. Dates and places match along with
other data.
9 = Connection. Dates and places and other corroborating
data point to a connection.
10= Positive proof. Have an original document
stating so.
.
|